The Haves and Have-Nots: The geopolitical dilemma of COVID vaccine equity

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The Haves and Have-Nots: The geopolitical dilemma of COVID vaccine equity

This article is part of a series in which OECD experts and thought leaders — from around the world and all parts of society — address the COVID-19 crisis, discussing and developing solutions now and for the future. Aiming to foster the fruitful exchange of expertise and perspectives across fields to help us rise to this critical challenge, opinions expressed do not necessarily represent the views of the OECD.

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Nationalism vs Science: a pandemic of injustice and a growing gap for the “have-nots”

Back in February, I wrote this piece on the geopolitical situation on vaccine equity, and who has—and has not—had access to COVID-19 vaccines and vaccinations. What has happened in the last 8 months? World leaders have met at the G7, health leaders have met at the World Health Assembly, reports have been produced. Yet what has changed? As I update my article now, the gap between the haves and have-nots continues to grow. 

As the world rolls out vaccines, the underlying global inequalities are being exacerbated, exemplified by vaccine haves and have-nots. The race against the virus and variants is still staggered in favour of the wealthy—the wealthy nations and the wealthiest people from the world’s poorest countries. Yet it is a slightly different race to the one eight months ago. Those who are lucky enough to be in wealthy countries who have completed their vaccination schedule are looking ahead to booster jabs in time for the winter. Yet still in less-developed countries, populations cannot access a single vaccine dose due to lack of supply. For many of the world’s poorest people, there are still no vaccines in the immediate future. 

In March 2021, I chaired a high-level meeting facilitated by Wilton Park on Financing C19 Vaccines for Africa: A whole of Africa approach to addressing vaccine access, delivery and uptake. At that meeting, leaders from across Africa invited other key global stakeholders together to address how we would collectively achieve the ambition of everyone being safe because everyone has access to vaccines. This meeting was the first during COVID time to bring together African Ministers of Finance and Health, the African Union, ACT-Accelerator principals, multilateral development banks, donor agencies, WHO and NGOs delivering vaccines on the ground.  

Key outcomes focused on what we need now and in the future, especially in relation to financing, to get vaccines both into countries and from ports to the arms of those who need them. There was a clear call for the need to share vaccines globally. Yet 8 months on, the debate of whether to boost or not to boost continues in some high-income countries. 

We have seen a year of rapid progress in science, technology and vaccine production. Now that we have the vaccines, there is no excuse not to concentrate efforts on ensuring equitable access to the tools available. 

Now, in this week of UNGA 2021, 386 million doses have been administered across the United States: enough to cover 60.3% of the population. In the United Kingdom, 93.1 million doses have been administered covering 69.7% of the population. And still less than 180 million doses have been delivered to Africa—a continent of 1.3 billion people…so the inequity continues. 

Read more on the Forum Network: Global Crisis, Unequal Problems: If vaccines and recovery remain a developed country luxury, we will remain locked in crisis by Jorge Moreira da Silva, Director of Development Co-operation, OECD

In February, there were already travel bans being put in place to separate the haves from the have-nots, with much of Sub-Saharan Africa and South America sealed off from the United Kingdom, Europe and North America as fears of the "South African" and “Brazilian” variants grew. This was a catch-22 situation, as without vaccines the virus continues to spread, replicate and mutate all over the world; now, the highly contagious and deadly Delta variant is making its way around the world, creating new waves as it travels across borders in unvaccinated “hosts”. It is the way of viruses, and enlightened self-interest alone dictates that we all work together to ensure that new variants are not re-introduced. Herd immunity is no longer considered plausible after the world lost control of this virus due to the lack of global leadership and consensus on a science-based response. 

Yet, this separation continues and the gap widens. Less than 2% of people in Africa have been fully vaccinated—but vaccine apartheid means that only those with “approved vaccines from the US, UK and the EU can travel without restriction”. This is a significant blow for a number of countries (mainly in Africa and parts of Asia) that will have administered the first vaccines they could get their hands on, whether or not they were “approved”; the rationale for this policy is not clear, and does not appear to be based in science. The ripple effect and impact of such a policy is wide ranging. It damages vaccine confidence even further in countries that are struggling to secure first doses for the most vulnerable, let alone having the luxury to pick and choose certain brands. 

The policy places doubts in the minds of those from affected regions as to whether they are receiving vaccines of the same quality and efficacy as those the West. It further exacerbates the gap between the haves and have-nots and bifurcates an already divided world. 

At the start of the year, perhaps the most hopeful gesture of global solidarity was the emergence of the COVAX mechanism, led by WHO, GAVI and CEPI. It has sought to bridge the equity gap, yet ambitions and political reality prove to be challenging; to date, COVAX has delivered less than 10% of the promised vaccines to lower-middle income countries. One of the critical pre-requisites for COVAX to achieve its mandate and ambitious mission—to bridge the equity gap—was the requirement for countries to all contribute financially. The principle of a pooled procurement model, jointly financed through a self-funding model and aid-financed advance market commitment, would have provided purchasing power and provided a lifeline to self-financing countries. But vaccine nationalism kicked in, and bilateral deals won the day at the expense of equitable access to vaccines for the global population.

Find out more about COVAX

So what now? The impact of vaccine inequity and the growing gap between haves and have-nots impacts not just those who cannot access vaccines. We are a globally enmeshed world: not being able to trade across Africa or produce rice in Asia or bring in tourists to the Pacific region has implications for us all. The Economist Intelligence Unit estimates that vaccine inequality will come at a cost of approximately USD 2.3 trillion to global GDP between 2022 and 2025. At a community level, our global village is suffering from the continued inability to travel and trade across and between countries. In the past, global disruption caused by war or plague has led to a rebirth in society—often led by social movements that have taken the opportunity afforded by the upheaval to question the status quo and to change the global world order. 

A new post-COVID world order is emerging, and yet we appear not to have fully embraced the lessons from post-WWII co-operation and unity to mitigate a common threat—COVID-19. The impacts on the global economy, education, health and development are far reaching, and devastating for most low and lower-middle income countries. In the wake of UNGA76, it is again time for that level of global co-operation and collaboration by those elected and appointed to protect us. This on-going global humanitarian crisis deserves it. 

World leaders and heads of state must commit to collaborative processes and frameworks that will sustainability achieve solidarity and provide funding towards vaccine equity and preventing future pandemics. It is time for a “whole-of-society” approach to defeat this microbe, a multilateral effort similar to UNAIDS, one more evidence-based and less political; with greater co-operation and solidarity; that is inclusive in design and governance structures; and that encompasses all, global north and global south alike. We cannot “build back better” without a more unified world. 

This article was originally published on this site 8 February 2021 and updated by the author 28 September 2021.

Find out more about the OECD’s work on The race to vaccinate

Find out more about the OECD’s work on The race to vaccinate

Related Topics

Tackling COVID-19 Health Vaccines Sustainable Development Goals

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Go to the profile of Afolabi Imoukhuede
almost 3 years ago

Awesome write up Dr. Alakija. The world watched the transmission of the virus across borders thus signifying to us all that the world is truly now a “global village.” This is the same concept that must be brought to bear in the acquisition and distribution of the COVID19 vaccines. No one should be left behind. AI